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Prediction for Manchester City vs Liverpool in the EFL League Cup Quarterfinals


To begin off at 3:00pm ET on Thursday, December 22 in the EFL League Cup Round of 16, it will be Manchester City vs. Liverpool at the Etihad.

City advanced to this round by defeating Chelsea in the third round of the EFL Cup, while Liverpool advanced by edging Derby County in a penalty shootout.

Below, we take a look at the World Cup Betting Online odds for Manchester City vs. Liverpool in the EFL Cup and provide some analysis, team news, and predictions.

Manchester City vs Liverpool Odds

Manchester City-104

With a -104 betting spread and a 51% estimated win probability, Man City is the clear favorite. For a change, Liverpool are the underdogs according to the oddsmakers, who put them at +280 with an indicated chance of 26%. The odds of a draw at the end of 90 minutes are +270, which corresponds to an implied chance of 27%.

Over/Under and Spread

Under 2.5 goals is the preferred bet at +140 on the barstool, while over is listed at -177.

Manchester City vs Liverpool Preview

City has made the EFL Cup their primary target, having won it five times in the past nine seasons, including four straight from 2018 to 2021. It’s been a way to rack up hardware for Pep Guardiola in the past, but this year may be different.

Given the added pressure of the World Cup break and the fact that City is currently in second place in the EPL, five points behind Arsenal, it seems likely that a splintered team will take the field against Liverpool, with some players still yet to reemerge after being on international duty in Qatar.

Haaland and De Bruyne Leading the Charge

Guardiola only scheduled one friendly over the break, a 2-0 victory over Girona that saw goals from Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne since most of his players was away on international duty.

And it’ll be those two superstars leading the charge against Liverpool, with the rest of the team made up of benchwarmers and young talent from City’s prestigious academy.

Before the fourth round of last year’s EFL Cup, City was eliminated by West Ham on penalties.

Manchester City vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Stats

9No of League Cup Finals13
8No of Trophy Wins9
10-2-2EPL Record 202-236-4-4
2ndCurrent EPL position6th
WWWWLWForm guide (all comps.)WWDWLW

Penalty Success for Reds

Last year, Liverpool took advantage of Man City’s early exit and advanced all the way to the championship game. It was a nail-biter all the way to the end, but in the end, they prevailed 11-10 on penalties over Chelsea.

The Reds had won three of their previous four matches before the World Cup break, including another on a penalty shootout against Derby County. Liverpool’s non-Qatar bound players spent the break competing in the Dubai Super Cup, where they went 1-2 against Lyon and AC Milan.

Salah the Hero Back in October

The two teams have already played once this season, in the middle of October, with Mo Salah scoring the game-winning goal in the second half. Even though neither squad will be at full strength for tomorrow’s game, the stakes will be high nevertheless.

Jurgen Klopp will expect his team to play well, seeing this as another opportunity to dampen Guardiola’s trophy aspirations in what is already a massive rivalry.

Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction

Even though City is the pregame favorite, Liverpool has a better chance of playing their best players. With that in mind, and given the importance of playing time in cup matches, I think the City win within of 90 minutes is the best value.

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